Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef483ab8c92e2b48460b9b43934b17028ee9171a9e38acaa868ab739021288fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Guerrieriof Andrea Guerrieri, August Holmgren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Guerrieri | 78c | 4,496$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.08 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed August Holmgren | 55c | 2,812$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.78 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed August Holmgren | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 49c | 2,265$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.31 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren | 22c | 1,957$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed August Holmgren | 28c | 1,720$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.97 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 1,672$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.75 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed August Holmgren | 55c | 1,649$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 1,531$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.5 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 1,385$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.44 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked August Holmgren | 51c | 1,220$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.32 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed August Holmgren | 37c | 1,062$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.42 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked August Holmgren | 29c | 935.07$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.43 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed August Holmgren | 33c | 906.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked August Holmgren | 56c | 892.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 75c | 870$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed August Holmgren | 11c | 832.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed August Holmgren | 20c | 698.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…d8fcbacked August Holmgren | 29c | 667.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed August Holmgren | 17c | 661$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed August Holmgren | 39c | 644.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 404 | 44.1%178 W · 226 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…9b1abacked August Holmgren | 39c | 613.5$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Guerrieri | 68c | 519.52$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Andrea Guerrieri | 47c | 505.83$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.09 | 261 | 41.4%108 W · 153 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed August Holmgren | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked August Holmgren | 14c | 478.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 48c | 452.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.74 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed August Holmgren | 52c | 447.91$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed August Holmgren | 54c | 446.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed August Holmgren | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked August Holmgren | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked August Holmgren | 9c | 398.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed August Holmgren | 6c | 372.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed August Holmgren | 28c | 357.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 318.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 61c | 315.36$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed August Holmgren | 57c | 304.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked August Holmgren | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed August Holmgren | 46c | 273$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed August Holmgren | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 20.5%32 W · 124 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Andrea Guerrieri | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 685 | 57.8%396 W · 289 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed August Holmgren | 29c | 246.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Andrea Guerrieri | 46c | 221.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed August Holmgren | 22c | 220.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 46c | 217.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked August Holmgren | 42c | 202.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed August Holmgren | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed August Holmgren | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed August Holmgren | 12c | 197.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 136 | 18.4%25 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked August Holmgren | 50c | 195.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed August Holmgren | 24c | 190.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…df2fbacked August Holmgren | 52c | 188.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked August Holmgren | 25c | 185.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 182.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed August Holmgren | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 78c | 170$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 50c | 167.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed August Holmgren | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 47c | 165$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…2ff1backed August Holmgren | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed August Holmgren | 34c | 154.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Andrea Guerrieri | 69c | 153.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed August Holmgren | 54c | 143.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked August Holmgren | 14c | 127.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked August Holmgren | 27c | 111.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 107.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1903…f674backed Andrea Guerrieri | 48c | 100.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked August Holmgren | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked August Holmgren | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked August Holmgren | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked August Holmgren | 36c | 96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…66cdbacked August Holmgren | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked August Holmgren | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Andrea Guerrieri | 47c | 91.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed August Holmgren | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Andrea Guerrieri | 65c | 85.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed August Holmgren | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 287 | 43.6%125 W · 162 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed August Holmgren | 31c | 83.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked August Holmgren | 51c | 74.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked August Holmgren | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 76c | 72.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andrea Guerrieri | 55c | 66.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Andrea Guerrieri | 72c | 65.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Andrea Guerrieri | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 830 | 56.1%466 W · 364 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed August Holmgren | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Andrea Guerrieri | 47c | 56.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…d67ebacked August Holmgren | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed August Holmgren | 56c | 54.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Andrea Guerrieri | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…6caabacked August Holmgren | 52c | 47.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed August Holmgren | 52c | 45.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andrea Guerrieri | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Andrea Guerrieri | 77c | 40.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 47c | 40.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed August Holmgren | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgrenthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Guerrieri vs HolmgrenHolmgren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.