Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Billy Blaydes vs Alexis Gautier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad78d5e868ecad1ef0dff3cd45d55a24a9296f5160d1d5b7d0ba0e9c8d202272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billy Blaydesof Billy Blaydes, Alexis Gautier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Billy Blaydes | 71c | 5,599$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.23 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexis Gautier | 17c | 4,775$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Billy Blaydes | 58c | 1,666$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.48 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alexis Gautier | 29c | 600$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…e4bdbacked Alexis Gautier | 3c | 599.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alexis Gautier | 28c | 514.61$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Alexis Gautier | 26c | 457.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexis Gautier | 46c | 433.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Alexis Gautier | 28c | 315$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexis Gautier | 28c | 302$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Billy Blaydes | 68c | 275$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Alexis Gautier | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…235fbacked Alexis Gautier | 56c | 233.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Alexis Gautier | 7c | 211.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Billy Blaydes | 52c | 202.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Billy Blaydes | 46c | 201.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alexis Gautier | 50c | 182.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Billy Blaydes | 53c | 156.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…fe8dbacked Alexis Gautier | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Billy Blaydes | 61c | 119.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alexis Gautier | 35c | 112.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexis Gautier | 33c | 112.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Alexis Gautier | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…0004backed Billy Blaydes | 60c | 106.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alexis Gautier | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Billy Blaydes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Alexis Gautier | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexis Gautier | 37c | 80.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Billy Blaydes | 45c | 80.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Billy Blaydes | 66c | 73.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alexis Gautier | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alexis Gautier | 48c | 70.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alexis Gautier | 19c | 64.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…215fbacked Billy Blaydes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Alexis Gautier | 21c | 56.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Billy Blaydes | 52c | 52.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Billy Blaydes | 67c | 52.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Billy Blaydes | 48c | 51.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Billy Blaydes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Billy Blaydes | 66c | 33.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Billy Blaydes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 257 | 68.9%177 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Billy Blaydes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Billy Blaydes | 66c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alexis Gautier | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Billy Blaydes | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Billy Blaydes | 68c | 19.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.