TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c15,155$5,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.311,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No61c15,049$9,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,871.5111342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed No62c13,732$8,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,218.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c6,364$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.8383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb98…0f6bbacked Yes39c4,173$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked No62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c2,591$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.5699933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes38c2,234$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.9268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes23c1,913$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.2322859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No63c1,864$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes38c1,775$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.4775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c1,637$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.453,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c1,586$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.4257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes39c1,436$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.062040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes38c1,356$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.162147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes38c1,322$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.1969750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes40c1,262$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes39c1,084$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39048153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+81.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c959.35$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.164,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes39c897$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.153050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No62c819.3$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.4112546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked No68c799.99$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes19c640.93$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.71,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes16c629.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1541751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c621.97$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281625%4 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes39c590$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5403…edd5backed Yes41c490.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes39c489.07$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5819632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes35c420$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.833751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes33c374.77$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7140239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No80c374.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.882055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed No62c374.18$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.192437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No60c325$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.345058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes27c310.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0618956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2837…e9fabacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes39c255.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.482839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70cb…950ebacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes28c236.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6313642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c227.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No59c188$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.085100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed No63c156.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes40c156.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.55366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No62c155.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1244039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed No65c154.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ad…089abacked Yes39c154.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.55651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes33c143.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes42c138.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.865646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No76c133.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.764738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf4…5324backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x487e…0d66backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes32c123.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.972147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No58c122.77$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes38c120.76$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.894663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed No63c118.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes38c118$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.261,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked No62c114.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1737…2b2fbacked Yes38c109.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes38c109.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4919130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes36c108.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…3ccebacked Yes37c107.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb50f…78c8backed Yes20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No65c103.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.193661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4116342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked Yes19c99.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.161827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes18c99.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0223232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes41c97.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.011947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed No62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes38c92.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1714525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes44c90.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.69634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No60c83.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3233544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Yes39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked No62c78.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.731735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e7…973ebacked Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes37c72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0232…09d2backed No62c67.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee3…017dbacked Yes39c67.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e9…e746backed Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes38c64.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3310254.9%56 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1de0…dd3cbacked Yes38c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No56c63.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0910168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.411253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c60.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes36c59.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fdf…40b3backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.