La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0396b49fef563f325fcf07b4452b5008191100e1b8cdd741e6f6fe39cb47def7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5693…8b76backed Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,319$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 1,023$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.53 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed No | 50c | 556.8$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked No | 9c | 528.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 522.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 27c | 509.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 351$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 349.32$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.47 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 30c | 141.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 22c | 100.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 23c | 83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 60c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 64c | 56.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 21c | 52.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 56c | 52.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 47c | 30.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed No | 47c | 25.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 46c | 25.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 46c | 25.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 62c | 20.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will SD Eibar vs. CD Tenerife end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.