Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73de1150359d0d565bf9418a2c79a2c712e81888c050219d6724bd2301145f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Remy Bertolaof Remy Bertola, Alejandro Moro Canas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 17c | 3,897$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.2 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Remy Bertola | 36c | 2,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.61 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 1,564$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.96 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Remy Bertola | 36c | 1,384$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.49 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 43c | 1,279$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Remy Bertola | 57c | 1,197$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.78 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 7c | 1,078$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 282 | 62.4%176 W · 106 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…e5e6backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 665.49$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.57 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 2c | 603.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 499.31$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.64 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 13c | 366.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 310.91$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Remy Bertola | 59c | 301.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Remy Bertola | 62c | 293.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Remy Bertola | 74c | 272$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 40c | 250.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 43c | 237.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 61c | 223.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 220.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Remy Bertola | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Remy Bertola | 40c | 189.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Remy Bertola | 35c | 168.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 162.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Remy Bertola | 47c | 100.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 908 | 34.1%310 W · 598 L | -43.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Remy Bertola | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Remy Bertola | 55c | 90.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Remy Bertola | 43c | 82.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Remy Bertola | 62c | 77.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Remy Bertola | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 48c | 71.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Remy Bertola | 59c | 67.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Remy Bertola | 35c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…ba99backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 21c | 63.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Remy Bertola | 63c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 820 | 55%451 W · 369 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 44c | 57.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Remy Bertola | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 585 | 53%310 W · 275 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…4c3abacked Remy Bertola | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 148 | 75.7%112 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 819 | 56.9%466 W · 353 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 52c | 38.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Remy Bertola | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 48c | 28.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 235 | 56.6%133 W · 102 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Remy Bertola | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Remy Bertola | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 328 | 56.7%186 W · 142 L | +21.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Remy Bertola | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 208 | 66.3%138 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 406 | 63.8%259 W · 147 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canasthis page
- Set Handicap: Canas (-1.5) vs Bertola (+1.5)Bertola won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.