WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d2a58abec3b5f4c00dc8326c9b1969c112930494a067a706f717dafab89cc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Fireof Phoenix Mercury, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 44,921$23,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,101.02 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Portland Fire | 48c | 7,840$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 7,638$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 6,060$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 4,998$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.64 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire | 52c | 2,335$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.79 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…49d6backed Portland Fire | 52c | 2,311$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 2,250$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.5 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Portland Fire | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Portland Fire | 48c | 1,818$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.18 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Portland Fire | 47c | 1,797$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.97 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Portland Fire | 48c | 1,690$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.53 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,645$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.42 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 1,638$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.68 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Portland Fire | 49c | 1,266$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.66 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Portland Fire | 49c | 1,245$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.08 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Portland Fire | 53c | 1,241$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked Portland Fire | 52c | 1,229$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 1,099$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.54 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Portland Fire | 55c | 1,096$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.59 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 1,015$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.56 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Portland Fire | 53c | 966.51$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.51 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 911$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.72 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Portland Fire | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Portland Fire | 44c | 799.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Portland Fire | 49c | 741.53$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.18 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 653$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.44 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Portland Fire | 50c | 643.07$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 573.86$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 488.1$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 412.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Portland Fire | 51c | 317.72$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 301.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Portland Fire | 46c | 290.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 273.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 240.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Portland Fire | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Portland Fire | 52c | 204.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Portland Fire | 49c | 203.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Portland Fire | 48c | 202$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Portland Fire | 53c | 193$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 190.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Portland Fire | 49c | 166.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Portland Fire | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Portland Fire | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Fire | 48c | 141$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Portland Fire | 52c | 115.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Portland Fire | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Portland Fire | 51c | 97.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Portland Fire | 48c | 91.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 83.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Portland Fire | 48c | 83.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Portland Fire | 47c | 77.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 76.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Portland Fire | 51c | 73.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Portland Fire | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 70.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Portland Fire | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 62.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Portland Fire | 48c | 61.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Portland Fire | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Portland Fire | 50c | 55.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 48.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…46aebacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 47.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 45.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 45.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Portland Fire | 53c | 44.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland Fire | 54c | 43.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Portland Fire | 49c | 41.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Portland Fire | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…8f17backed Portland Fire | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Portland Fire | 53c | 37.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Portland Fire | 42c | 33.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Portland Fire | 47c | 32.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Portland Fire | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Portland Fire | 53c | 30.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Portland Fire | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f75…4ba1backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 25.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Portland Fire | 51c | 23.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)this page
- Portland Fire vs. Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire won
- Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Portland Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.