Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1d9af8807c78f1f18489eb49b43c17734f3c2926376feefd36fcf62e5e0924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2320…4869backed Over | 73c | 2,100$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.45 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 29c | 1,283$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.06 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under | 29c | 1,129$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.43 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 29c | 852$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.08 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…642abacked Over | 69c | 727.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 462$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 462$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 313.08$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 64c | 310.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…92b5backed Under | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 228.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 30c | 221.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…9610backed Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 131.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 72c | 108.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 29c | 70.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 71c | 70.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 30c | 59.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…1d6ebacked Under | 30c | 36.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 71c | 29.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 71c | 20.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…d087backed Over | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Take First CornerBosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.