TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 4.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,912 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over79c884.97$699 inLost-$6998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over69c493.11$338 inLost-$338.1217736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under19c489.32$93 inWon+$396.352,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Under18c329.15$59 inWon+$269.97630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under23c322.32$75 inWon+$247.673,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under20c308.8$62 inWon+$247.0525445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under36c294.12$106 inWon+$188.3563745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under28c285.3$80 inWon+$205.31747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over66c215.23$141 inLost-$1417448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over55c200$110 inLost-$110.432959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b7…e2b5backed Under20c130$26 inWon+$1042250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under21c120$25 inWon+$94.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c113.49$28 inWon+$85.263,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a3…baf7backed Over76c71.67$55 inLost-$54.576640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Over74c67.57$50 inLost-$5012860.2%77 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80fc…d9ecbacked Under22c45.99$10 inWon+$35.872927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under31c38.94$12 inWon+$26.851,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over72c27.55$20 inLost-$19.842,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b1…b6bebacked Over78c25.64$20 inLost-$203770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacd7…a9d0backed Over73c20.55$15 inLost-$1511656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.