Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d62ef657fdef4f508820b40226f032c2ca3242670fd5329eb4b3cec14f7491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 48c | 5,018$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.58 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 49c | 4,215$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.35 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Over | 50c | 2,581$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.04 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 50c | 2,099$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.83 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.13 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 944.12$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.46 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…096dbacked Over | 51c | 686.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 577.81$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 51c | 530.95$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…a2cdbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 373.02$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 319.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…cddcbacked Over | 48c | 305$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Under | 48c | 174.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 144.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Over | 52c | 120.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 49c | 116.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…4357backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…b06cbacked Under | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 49c | 72.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…248ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 49c | 57.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 49c | 41.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 52c | 34.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 52c | 30.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Take First CornerBosnia and Herzegovina won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.