TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 4.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,440 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dee…412bbacked Over25c1,177$300 inLost-$30089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c304.65$227 inWon+$77.163,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over55c303$167 inLost-$166.957332.9%24 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under75c300$225 inWon+$7567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under73c271.11$198 inWon+$73.636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over41c270$110 inLost-$11013850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under74c265.86$198 inWon+$68.021,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under53c251.44$133 inWon+$118.0763745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over25c220$55 inLost-$5534526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under75c214.22$160 inWon+$54.443,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under59c150$89 inWon+$61.514134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca2…80b0backed Under35c103$36 inWon+$66.951250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d69…f09fbacked Under65c102.15$66 inWon+$36.157644.7%34 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…0b63backed Over36c100$36 inLost-$3610945%49 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under50c100$50 inWon+$5040163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over77c99.99$77 inLost-$76.9918642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under23c74$17 inWon+$56.9882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over27c67.04$18 inLost-$18.11,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8459…47dabacked Under75c66.67$50 inWon+$16.671353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e6…fa86backed Over50c60$30 inLost-$3010136.6%37 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under75c54.37$41 inWon+$13.743,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Over50c40$20 inLost-$2013147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under60c37.4$22 inWon+$14.962,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…8294backed Under50c30$15 inWon+$159455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under76c28.92$22 inWon+$6.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under72c24.79$18 inWon+$6.9485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.