TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,162 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20ad…307dbacked Over77c2,850$2,203 inWon+$646.963158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over75c552.58$414 inWon+$138.1536142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under22c465.01$102 inLost-$102.343252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under21c388.64$80 inLost-$79.9223031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c280.6$62 inLost-$61.731,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under23c262.18$60 inLost-$60.329949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over78c252$197 inWon+$55.4411937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under23c146$34 inLost-$33.5865050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over78c143.59$112 inWon+$31.59988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick75cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under22c109$24 inLost-$23.9852046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under22c100$22 inLost-$2230656.9%174 W · 132 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c83.52$63 inWon+$20.881,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad63…c264backed Under25c83.52$21 inLost-$20.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon+$14.111464.9%74 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under24c50$12 inLost-$1216651.2%85 W · 81 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.