Champions League · resolved market
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb431afe8fe4ab6ec32eddac0e3527cc99759d7a5a17ff4165b1654ea55d1ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 4,499$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.57 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.8wins | +0.36per pick | 45cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 9c | 2,401$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 2,374$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.89 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 12c | 1,497$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 10c | 1,416$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 5c | 341.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 8c | 286.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Over | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 9c | 256$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 78c | 128.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 17c | 123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…90b5backed Over | 15c | 114.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 10c | 104.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 17c | 62.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 5.5this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: FC Thun 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: FC Thun O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: FC Thun O/U 2.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 2.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to AdvanceGNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: FC Thun (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)FC Thun won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)FC Thun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.