TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c10,366$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.661,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over63c7,461$4,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.9913738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over62c2,585$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.3811937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under38c2,222$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.361915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-72.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c1,829$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.641,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under37c1,534$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1410046%46 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c1,528$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0591537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c1,009$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.2731847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over78c1,005$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7716440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c943.66$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7243252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Over58c932.32$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under8c896.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.351,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under14c844.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0272335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under36c807.43$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6726645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked Under10c782.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under7c781.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567540%30 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Under3c749.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under4c603.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.882941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c595$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.960748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under35c586.56$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3610752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under22c524.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c519.93$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5633844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac6…f11dbacked Under15c466.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under23c440.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over64c423$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7220241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Under38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+77.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over63c366.84$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.738223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under21c325.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7230856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under22c320.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0617058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Under39c299.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.993847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under27c272.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9315954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+100.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c247.46$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3988631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.948750.6%44 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under33c222.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0811035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under31c215$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3724252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Under11c212.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over71c207.34$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4412551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.67345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12446.8%3 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-75.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under31c195.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4414353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under19c194.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9544647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under42c190.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Over61c162.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.611369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2928639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under14c150.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0532843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509739.2%38 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under39c126.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.523122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under19c126.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5716743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under38c126$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8822245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under36c124$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.645927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked Under40c117.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under23c114.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5513567.4%91 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under23c86.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.912560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over61c80.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.331553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.630656.9%174 W · 132 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under22c78.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over64c76.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad63…c264backed Under31c70.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under20c69.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under22c61.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.446953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.838142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over72c57.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.172748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b9…5bd1backed Over72c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814454.9%79 W · 65 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over78c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0212144.6%54 W · 67 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over64c47.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over61c40.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7937649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over78c36.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.076546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over77c36.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3624545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over60c34.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9965050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under37c34.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.793974.4%29 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under42c33.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.063246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over79c33.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2511464.9%74 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Over62c24.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over77c21.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8210051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Over60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over61c17.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f25…e9a5backed Over73c17.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Over62c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.