TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,754 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5902…59fabacked Over60c1,006$604 inWon+$401.892948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c908.21$349 inLost-$348.991,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over70c450$314 inWon+$136.220241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c434.05$152 inLost-$152.0291537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed Over69c400$276 inWon+$124977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c357.28$125 inLost-$124.91,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under31c274.88$84 inLost-$84.083735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under43c113$49 inLost-$48.5910752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over68c104.96$71 inWon+$33.594477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Over68c80.88$55 inWon+$25.882055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153c…bf6abacked Over70c80$56 inWon+$24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over43c58.14$25 inWon+$33.145135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under57c44.27$25 inLost-$25.38250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under41c37.47$16 inLost-$15.5415954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Over66c16.83$11 inWon+$5.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.