Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07daf241a53b791debfaf1ace16aae3d7991342b5cfec81caecdce0d3d3751e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GNK Dinamo Zagrebof FC Thun, GNK Dinamo Zagreb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27e4…4803backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Thun | 38c | 1,588$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.97 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Thun | 3c | 909.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Thun | 26c | 877.51$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.51 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 60c | 763.36$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.68 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 53c | 596.9$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 54c | 460.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 60c | 335.56$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Thun | 4c | 322.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Thun | 40c | 264.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked FC Thun | 40c | 238.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FC Thun | 35c | 228.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 61c | 165.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Thun | 39c | 126.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 55c | 120.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked FC Thun | 40c | 105.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FC Thun | 37c | 102.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC Thun | 40c | 92.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked FC Thun | 40c | 75.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FC Thun | 40c | 72.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed FC Thun | 40c | 72.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…651ebacked FC Thun | 40c | 71.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FC Thun | 40c | 65.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FC Thun | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 65c | 60.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed FC Thun | 40c | 34.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: FC Thun 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: FC Thun O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: FC Thun O/U 2.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 2.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 0.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 5.5Under won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to AdvanceGNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: FC Thun (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)FC Thun won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)FC Thun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.