TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,767 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Over43c1,836$796 inWon+$1,040.411937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under2c1,044$21 inLost-$20.885922%13 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over61c683.31$417 inWon+$266.493732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c600$341 inLost-$340.7563346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c394.87$153 inLost-$153.271,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c335$188 inLost-$187.660748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under38c331.6$127 inLost-$126.5860%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under56c325.88$183 inLost-$183.4352046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under56c214$120 inLost-$119.8436142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c154$88 inLost-$88.3165050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under58c150$87 inLost-$8722552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Over67c145.29$97 inWon+$48.512040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over65c111.22$72 inWon+$39.431586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+61.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xad63…c264backed Under28c74.39$21 inLost-$20.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under30c55$17 inLost-$16.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under59c52$31 inLost-$30.682568%17 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over66c50$33 inWon+$174050%20 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under41c47.16$19 inLost-$19.4512551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over70c42.86$30 inWon+$12.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c35.46$11 inLost-$10.641,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over61c16.89$10 inWon+$6.5917443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.