TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd09…8974backed Over0c26,900$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c11,587$7,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,279.91,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over50c5,238$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6192326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over33c2,991$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.746741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over25c2,870$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.9816440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over13c2,712$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6138253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over12c1,159$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0917053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under60c1,037$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.86048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under70c979.37$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.066232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c973.26$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.971,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under70c960.95$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9172335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+120.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under75c915.46$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.533342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under48c800$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under61c698.27$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2710249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over48c652.84$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.387339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over22c597.55$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.461942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under63c559.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.330856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under63c542.47$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9917058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6739…54b0backed Under79c513.73$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.883100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c499.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over11c489.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.544847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under69c431.34$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4610752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over35c343$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2944647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over29c341.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over11c318.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.37238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under73c317.35$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.198250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under56c290$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0624252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c282.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1721217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Under73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over13c270$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.13647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over51c260.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under48c230.38$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4760136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over7c223.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.564757.4%27 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under68c222.5$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.610051%51 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under67c209.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.823148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9805…a997backed Under67c208.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under71c195.78$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5415954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over21c193$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5922245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick78cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under54c149.97$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under71c149.04$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6614645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over21c144.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0752046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over38c138.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651984.2%16 W · 3 L+7.6wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+136%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c134.63$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5216743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe399…6bd7backed Over24c111.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over48c111.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2910743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.12857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over20c106$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac6…f11dbacked Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over13c90.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under68c89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.792560%15 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Under61c82.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over22c70.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6211937.8%45 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under75c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4524545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under75c62.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6914353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over22c61.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5115448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over34c56.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under80c55.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.222941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under71c52.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6113567.4%91 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Under75c49.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.131546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c45.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.127450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over45c41.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.863438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under52c41.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.826959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over51c40.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.342748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe198…8b53backed Under76c38.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under75c33.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.312551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under78c33.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3765050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.553974.4%29 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under43c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.623531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-48.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under61c28.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.924060%24 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over48c22.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.934052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd6…7275backed Under69c21.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f25…e9a5backed Over54c19.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Under77c18.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.252458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.