TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,720 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c1,004$424 inWon+$579.993,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over55c901.49$496 inLost-$495.826031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over54c255.25$139 inLost-$138.9551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c109.87$52 inWon+$58.048,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c109.18$50 inWon+$59.392,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under16c84.29$13 inWon+$70.829653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under17c64.12$11 inWon+$53.2242462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over47c51.99$25 inLost-$24.5589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under59c50.91$30 inWon+$21.11,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over63c48$30 inLost-$30.241855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over42c45.24$19 inLost-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under37c40.54$15 inWon+$25.542272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over47c30.93$14 inLost-$14.4889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under48c25.46$12 inWon+$13.162766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.