South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8881a34223c42e01ecafeb2a9e7d4223c08fe3d8d49729cd75a53fe805d8f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed No | 75c | 6,755$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 25c | 6,734$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.5 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 1,142$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.12 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,039$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 1,031$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.16 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 56c | 900.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 898.75$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 355.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 328.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 126.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 121.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 53c | 110.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 107.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked No | 48c | 102.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 52c | 94.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 86.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 51c | 35.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 33.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked No | 46c | 26.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 55c | 25.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.