South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f9fd2d444b05ca82f03e27d6fcfa14d1af9f2cbea121eea21244894a1e6dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 11,891$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.83 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 6,433$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 3,867$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.86 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 3,390$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.48 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 25c | 2,097$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.06 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 1,669$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 556.69$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 542.38$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 58c | 537.09$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 511.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 493.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc867…8b00backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 205.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 188.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 29c | 173.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 58c | 93.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 76c | 92.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 29c | 83.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 54c | 74.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 48c | 70.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 67.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 63c | 66.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 61.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 73c | 59.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 24c | 57.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 77c | 56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Over | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 23c | 52.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 23c | 49.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 39c | 30.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 25.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 24.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 22.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 75c | 22.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 68c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 14.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: EC Bahia O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.