Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2421ed1741f786de2d24512d1cd76ffa4bf82b65345bd4cebcbd8c8b41f54566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 1,187$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 66c | 488.82$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 349.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 289.25$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 30c | 171.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 150.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 49c | 115.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 106.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 41c | 103.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 89.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…a518backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 35c | 74.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 66c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 36c | 62.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Yes | 67c | 56.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked No | 38c | 52.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 40c | 49.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 65c | 39.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 34c | 33.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 31.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 30.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 64c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 56c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 66c | 15.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.