Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe65451b1404a116889dc6adc96efe40455c601ac9b848f377384df981a3beb06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 6,637$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.35 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,902$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 2,462$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.84 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,513$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.74 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 62c | 1,284$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.77 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 25c | 1,137$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.14 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 57c | 882.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 624.61$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.61 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Under | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 49c | 534.42$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.36 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 17c | 530$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.9 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 49c | 384.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 8c | 316.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 38c | 299.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 52c | 261.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…8807backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 45c | 182$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 45c | 168.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 45c | 141.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 141.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 47c | 120.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 45c | 112.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 92.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 45c | 92.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 68c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Over | 56c | 81.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 45c | 79.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 77.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 51c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 66c | 63.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 52c | 52.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 45c | 48.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 45c | 32.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 45c | 28.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 39c | 26.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 68c | 19.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 68c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.