Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabbf8f0749389c2ec65cfd8a53389e7f814d71641a75d1094f62e12742fca256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 1c | 5,458$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 61c | 2,139$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.23 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 1,185$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.87 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 16c | 1,022$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8c…c7b5backed Under | 4c | 861.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Over | 74c | 700$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 22c | 529.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.47 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc867…8b00backed Over | 41c | 493.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 29c | 362.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.73 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 38c | 350$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Under | 31c | 325.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 31c | 306.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 8c | 301.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.02 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Under | 41c | 241.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 74c | 223.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 67c | 196.38$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 67c | 185.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 51c | 181.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 53c | 178$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 31c | 168.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 34c | 154.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 154.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 56c | 142.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 21c | 136.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 123.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 20c | 112.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Over | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 79c | 99.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 48c | 89.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…7fd6backed Over | 29c | 87.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 45c | 81.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 59c | 77.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 55.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 23c | 53.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 51c | 45.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 31c | 45.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 51c | 44.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 78c | 40.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 55c | 37.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 32c | 37.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.