Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b29a04cd41ad6c02a83359f960ad0a387c5b3c8cbd050f2701b22511023f89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 52c | 17,052$8,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,867.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 12,394$5,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.21 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 79c | 2,652$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.83 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 935.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.31 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 48c | 595.74$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.08 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 48c | 575.79$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.41 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 48c | 406.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 48c | 381.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 48c | 377$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 371.12$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.98 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 48c | 84.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 51c | 46.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.