Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da438c77596416729fe00e31451121e3846c8c34e0f96dd10dcbfd26ce5e8fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 4,745$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.28 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 3,026$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 2,470$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.52 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Over | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 48c | 1,123$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 38c | 821.68$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.5 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 50c | 730.58$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.29 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 555.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 38c | 315.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 57c | 305.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 62c | 252.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 15c | 203.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 49c | 195.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…f3dfbacked Under | 78c | 165.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 72c | 135.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 74c | 125.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 59c | 123.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 65c | 118.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 74c | 80.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 79.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 76.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 32c | 64.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Over | 63c | 62.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 37c | 59.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 31c | 58.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 69c | 56.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 74c | 50.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 38c | 45.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 79c | 44.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Under | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…b8b6backed Under | 41c | 42.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 69c | 40.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 74c | 33.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 29.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 72c | 29.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 63c | 21.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 74c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 74c | 13.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.