TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c10,581$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,137.021,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c9,816$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,681.821,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over68c7,718$5,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,217.799032.2%29 W · 61 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over59c6,298$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,703.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c6,013$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.861,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under43c5,868$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.555540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c4,542$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.222,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c4,034$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.838,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over67c3,825$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.8619255.2%106 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Over57c3,353$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.352828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over58c2,500$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.211,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over71c2,214$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.381,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over58c1,991$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.941,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under19c1,693$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.1315945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over76c1,458$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.123,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over37c1,454$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.532,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over62c970.73$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Over58c900$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46416160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under43c777.18$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9921752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under64c776.06$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9229138.1%111 W · 180 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over66c757.57$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over59c751.33$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under22c745.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.2535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under40c565.03$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.468953.9%48 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under34c530.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0811338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over61c525.9$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.987342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under32c465.69$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over64c465.47$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.33959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over58c450$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over36c437.75$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.051030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over49c431.8$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8615625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under35c430.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1832139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23220846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under79c379.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.748657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over36c379$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1651945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over59c366.1$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21667337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under34c331.97$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.13246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Under47c319.81$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.842661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x787b…f0a6backed Under31c312.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over34c285.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.865939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under33c284.71$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.766744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Under45c280.64$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over30c272$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.622,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over49c250$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.53148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over38c235.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7635046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over37c234.43$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over57c229.92$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9217251.2%88 W · 84 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over30c186.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.815834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under45c181.81$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over30c158.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3767548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under41c151.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8e…b1d0backed Under8c146.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+122.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under42c142.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.472540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over59c139.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5914643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over67c126.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8512755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under43c116.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.434155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed Under18c113.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.031145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under30c107$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.91,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over42c105.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.751750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635042%21 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over61c98.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Over79c75.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over59c72.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.997048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497463.5%47 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.572254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Under31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.523438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under34c62.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+94.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.45759.6%34 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under41c48.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd87e…36fabacked Over59c47.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over59c47.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.963650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over69c43.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.64858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd60…c454backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c32.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Over66c29.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under43c28.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.162055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.518557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12bd…aa80backed Under43c23.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over58c19.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.553961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over71c19.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606b…5a10backed Under69c15.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Over70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.