TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,505 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed No64c2,970$1,892 inWon+$1,077.853,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes48c1,100$528 inLost-$52846530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost-$20022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes25c616.68$152 inLost-$152.34922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c604.57$296 inWon+$308.332,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c597.93$270 inLost-$270.158,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No65c597.88$389 inWon+$209.213748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes21c555.63$117 inLost-$117.051,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No76c197.95$150 inWon+$47.511,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes35c100$35 inLost-$3512933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes27c100$27 inLost-$274548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Yes41c99.98$41 inLost-$40.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c72.95$35 inWon+$38.112,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed No70c71.43$50 inWon+$21.434182.9%34 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x113e…e74fbacked No48c45.38$22 inWon+$23.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c38.95$20 inLost-$20.371,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…082ebacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes50c38.46$19 inLost-$19.2320846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked No48c24.95$12 inWon+$12.976061.7%37 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c24.84$13 inLost-$12.8566837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked No78c19.49$15 inWon+$4.291376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.