Other European Leagues · resolved market
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b539ef526d04b5b2c5640c52775389d474b47027c637abb610ef215c1ceba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Over | 57c | 19,881$11,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,429.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 43c | 10,030$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.01 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 9,294$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 3,334$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.7 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 2,500$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 2,489$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.21 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 36c | 1,861$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.19 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 1,798$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Under | 42c | 1,320$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 24c | 1,102$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 51c | 497.12$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 41c | 432$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 58c | 431.81$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.39 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 58c | 354.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 42c | 290$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 24c | 284.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 43c | 249$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…9a67backed Under | 75c | 224.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 76c | 214.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 44c | 200.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 175.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 21c | 162.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 136.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 41c | 132.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 120$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 79c | 108.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 103.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…5c5abacked Over | 38c | 101.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 42c | 93.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 42c | 86.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…77b8backed Under | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 77c | 22.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 54c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 76c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 78c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5this page
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-2.5)GAIS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.