Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: GAIS (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5391b88a3e57639b01508aa6c9239448c9238497007df8354c02ddfbf0e51efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halmstads BKof GAIS, Halmstads BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Halmstads BK | 57c | 14,159$8,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.76 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed GAIS | 42c | 6,411$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed GAIS | 38c | 5,173$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GAIS | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Halmstads BK | 61c | 1,807$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.08 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Halmstads BK | 63c | 1,335$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.11 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked GAIS | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed GAIS | 47c | 1,062$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.27 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed GAIS | 40c | 923.87$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked GAIS | 39c | 820.51$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed GAIS | 42c | 549.86$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked GAIS | 44c | 404.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…23f0backed GAIS | 38c | 373.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked GAIS | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Halmstads BK | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Halmstads BK | 68c | 199.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Halmstads BK | 62c | 184.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed GAIS | 38c | 181.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Halmstads BK | 62c | 143.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked GAIS | 43c | 121.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Halmstads BK | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed GAIS | 43c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked GAIS | 32c | 104.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked GAIS | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GAIS | 42c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GAIS | 32c | 94.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Halmstads BK | 58c | 85.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed GAIS | 38c | 75.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked GAIS | 43c | 72.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed GAIS | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed GAIS | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked GAIS | 41c | 60.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GAIS | 39c | 59.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked GAIS | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GAIS | 39c | 48.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Halmstads BK | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked GAIS | 39c | 41.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Halmstads BK | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed GAIS | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Halmstads BK | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Halmstads BK | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Halmstads BK | 61c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Halmstads BK | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Halmstads BK | 59c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Halmstads BK | 60c | 17.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)this page
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-2.5)GAIS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.