Other European Leagues · resolved market
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9b60b4232e5c236509624f93f4d87f83aa11c153bed17fc722e52d0ab70dc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Under | 76c | 9,750$7,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 6,422$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 944.51$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 868.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.77 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 21c | 765.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 23c | 736.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Under | 66c | 430.23$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 23c | 251.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 37c | 191.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 34c | 103.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 34c | 59.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 66c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 65c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5this page
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-2.5)GAIS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.