Other European Leagues · resolved market
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23c1aa9f0c689658666b3ce3bbda34a2049c51c6a434207c5c99da8f4acc9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 48c | 983.77$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 739.54$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.81 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 53c | 360$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…459cbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 356.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 36c | 311.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 210.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…5af6backed No | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 123.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 43c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 52c | 104.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 99.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 52c | 99.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 82.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 69.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 55c | 59.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 53.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 39.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 77c | 36.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 52c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 52c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 54c | 18.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-2.5)GAIS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.