Other European Leagues · resolved market
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6fd06ccefa79021bc47150f0547ce64c6d641ecdcaa62b0a991fba28c64830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.78 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 1,515$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…4191backed Under | 33c | 590.5$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 74c | 217.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 51c | 211.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 50c | 200.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…13cebacked Over | 62c | 153.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 80c | 131.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 80c | 119.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 29c | 104.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 48c | 100.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 92.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 25c | 82.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 59c | 68.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 22c | 64.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 49c | 54.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 61c | 52.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…079ebacked Over | 69c | 28.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 49c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 44c | 26.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…e199backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Over | 62c | 24.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 59c | 22.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 80c | 22.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 55c | 21.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5this page
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)Halmstads BK won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-2.5)GAIS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.