Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9870ec484f8bb3e641527b0e7fc67e6def7b644ceff0602495990c69d5298434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 3,698$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 65c | 2,091$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.66 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.9 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,474$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 1,085$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.23 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 42c | 707.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 18c | 703.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.89 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 15c | 682.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 68c | 594.23$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 51c | 388$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Over | 69c | 323.26$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Over | 80c | 262.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Under | 31c | 243.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 17c | 242.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.21 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 21c | 135.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 77c | 125$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Under | 48c | 114.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 18c | 103.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 56c | 102.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 34c | 99.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 55c | 73.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 52c | 56.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 29c | 52.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Over | 51c | 49.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 42c | 32.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…fb78backed Over | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 73c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.