Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f319fba287805ac38d032acaccfbb4ed6ac9d49a4d1b1b7f6d7563f133a415c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 6,011$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Over | 59c | 2,727$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 20c | 2,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.98 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 1,649$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 60c | 1,512$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.48 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Under | 41c | 1,436$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 1,417$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.13 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 1,100$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.48 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 1,083$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.93 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 937$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.2 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 812.46$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.01 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Under | 58c | 793.53$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 46c | 666$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 60c | 600.46$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.84 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 539.92$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.44 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 509.17$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Over | 36c | 418$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 59c | 339.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 40c | 307.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Under | 42c | 238.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 229.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 38c | 197.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 50c | 162.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 60c | 130.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…70b0backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 40c | 109.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 60c | 104.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 58c | 102.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Under | 64c | 93.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 40c | 71.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Over | 57c | 70.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 59.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed Under | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…b8bfbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e25…1cb3backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 56c | 38.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 58c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Over | 59c | 31.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ba…a7dcbacked Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 60c | 25.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…24edbacked Under | 42c | 24.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 56c | 21.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.