Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc04080a92452d46f721605f62b2708a16544e366255b5563060ac737b5e9875e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 15c | 11,183$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.9 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…bd78backed Over | 37c | 815.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 792.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 549.93$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 419.37$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 63c | 119.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 118.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 106.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 63c | 69.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 65c | 61.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…35abbacked Over | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.