Europa Conference League · resolved market
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc64a06d828d6b1644087ce1c740c55985a1392714035be163a3d19d8948ff97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 11,760$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.88 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 8,952$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 56c | 7,340$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 38c | 2,948$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.08 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 2,425$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.2 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,730$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.27 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 1,467$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.65 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,164$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 61c | 1,130$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.27 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 44c | 847.61$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.45 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 39c | 831.65$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 605.79$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.85 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 40c | 499.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked No | 74c | 270.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 37c | 208.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 45c | 200.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 38c | 193.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 39c | 141.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 123.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 110.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 69c | 108$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 107.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 40c | 105.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 87.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 55c | 66.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 61.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 40c | 56.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 30c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 55c | 34.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 40c | 33.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73fb…c7afbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 40c | 31.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…6f65backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 24.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 55c | 22.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 47c | 22.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Mjällby AIF O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Mjällby AIF O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Mjällby AIF won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Mjällby AIF won
- Spread: Mjällby AIF (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.