Europa Conference League · resolved market
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b934efbd8f1dddd4296c25c79854fc127912a5dcc7b55e27215f1e8064d051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 13,262$6,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,631.11 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 5,744$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.95 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 5,364$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.13 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 3,649$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.03 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 51c | 1,319$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.94 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under | 18c | 1,227$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 880.11$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.45 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Over | 65c | 840.08$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 789.58$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.24 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 335.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 56c | 334.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 18c | 275.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 50c | 240$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 188.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 180$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 146.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 55c | 141.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 51c | 128.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Over | 51c | 103.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 70c | 99.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 98.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 84.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 51c | 80.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 77c | 80.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 79c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…2c9abacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 51c | 61.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…da55backed Over | 51c | 59.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Over | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 67c | 53.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 53.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…172abacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 47.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 39.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…6117backed Over | 47c | 39.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 69c | 36.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 35.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Over | 80c | 30.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Over | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 80c | 13.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5this page
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Mjällby AIF O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Mjällby AIF O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Mjällby AIF won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Mjällby AIF won
- Spread: Mjällby AIF (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.