Europa Conference League · resolved market
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ffce77a5c18b1476a0be062a31b71a70667e2fcad06228b3988b948c65b11e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Over | 58c | 8,394$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 4,774$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.45 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 4,513$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.53 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 4,477$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 3,370$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.84 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 42c | 2,168$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,124$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.69 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 37c | 1,865$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.4 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 6c | 1,100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Over | 59c | 1,036$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 59c | 833.93$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.14 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 43c | 805.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 41c | 708.93$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 18c | 599.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 63c | 494.23$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.01 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 40c | 491.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 42c | 472.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 446.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.31 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 300$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 62c | 294$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 38c | 283.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 38c | 276$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 271.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 248.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 236.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 219.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 40c | 200.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 164.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 59c | 142$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 25c | 133.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Under | 39c | 129$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 38c | 118$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 39c | 117.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc73…d984backed Under | 52c | 117.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 89.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 38c | 87.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 87.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 42c | 78.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Over | 13c | 78.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 52c | 60.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 39c | 58.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 56c | 43.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 50c | 41.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 38c | 40.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 38.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 41c | 36.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 35.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 57c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 33.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 80c | 32.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Over | 53c | 31.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 53c | 29.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 27.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6648backed Over | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 49c | 22.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5this page
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Mjällby AIF O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Mjällby AIF O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Mjällby AIF won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Mjällby AIF won
- Spread: Mjällby AIF (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.