Europa Conference League · resolved market
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0758e792aa3f0dabc6a81f5954ba337f857fc7039d54284899c889c98d278834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 14c | 15,521$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.22 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 17c | 5,961$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.69 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 4,215$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 79c | 3,626$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.76 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 1c | 2,725$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 78c | 1,679$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.39 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 11c | 1,500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 13c | 1,316$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 1,274$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.03 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 6c | 1,121$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 5c | 1,115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 2c | 918.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 23c | 851.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 65c | 769.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.69 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…7de1backed Under | 24c | 667.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 594.85$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Over | 58c | 512.87$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 68c | 398.82$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 57c | 324.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…00edbacked Over | 77c | 315.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Over | 76c | 247$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 230.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 5c | 211.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 72c | 207.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…427fbacked Over | 69c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 35c | 180.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 132.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 58c | 121.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 17c | 111.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 34c | 108.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…3d25backed Over | 68c | 93.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 32c | 91.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 32c | 91.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 38c | 79.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 43c | 79.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 62c | 61.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 54.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27d9…f009backed Over | 22c | 54.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +359.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 53.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 68c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 58c | 23.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 0.5this page
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Mjällby AIF O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Mjällby AIF O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)Mjällby AIF won
- Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5)Mjällby AIF won
- Spread: Mjällby AIF (-1.5)FC Red Bull Salzburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.