Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25af909fb68699ceac8da7ca910929af22983b5ba7b9324a2955aab0b39fcc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 6,797$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 3,247$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.68 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 1,901$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.7 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 41c | 1,675$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.46 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 62c | 1,148$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 498.77$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 478.08$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.8 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 469.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 443.55$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 429.8$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 34c | 411.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 32c | 399.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 38c | 270.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 37c | 270.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 58c | 255.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 37c | 228.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 200.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 62c | 193$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 34c | 103.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 62c | 101.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed No | 51c | 88.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 39c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…092dbacked Yes | 62c | 49.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 41.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 40.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 37c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 53c | 39.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 38c | 35.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050a…49e4backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…9c0bbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 28.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2d…31febacked Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 49c | 23.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Olympique de Marseille O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Olympique de Marseille O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: RC Strasbourg Alsace O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: RC Strasbourg Alsace O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.