Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa04fd48c6cf7f58740619590236f86487cd25b9b130ab3d879354020bc0bbb32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique de Marseilleof Olympique de Marseille, RC Strasbourg Alsace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 68c | 7,399$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.03 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 5,164$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.65 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 1,248$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.9 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 76c | 1,232$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.31 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 1,002$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.04 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 932.12$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.84 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 73c | 664.04$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.76 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Olympique de Marseille | 30c | 660.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…4118backed Olympique de Marseille | 33c | 451.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 439.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 63c | 219$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +9.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6d…2544backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 68c | 145.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 119.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 25c | 115.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 67c | 109.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 31c | 106$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 63c | 102$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Olympique de Marseille | 29c | 95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 63.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Olympique de Marseille | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 62c | 54.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 63c | 52.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 68c | 49.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 67c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 39.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878b…d4eabacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 68c | 36.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 63c | 21.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Olympique de Marseille | 64c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Olympique de Marseille | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 75c | 16.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae54…9e8cbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…ce2bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Olympique de Marseille O/U 0.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Olympique de Marseille O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: RC Strasbourg Alsace O/U 0.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: RC Strasbourg Alsace O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.