TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c17,986$6,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,656.1524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under2c8,953$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+669.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under36c6,266$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.2452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c6,087$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.181,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over64c5,226$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.734934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over62c3,976$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.0829637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c2,749$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.1324052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c2,490$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.21,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Under13c2,223$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c2,067$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.189046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over63c1,530$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Over45c1,280$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c1,255$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.7645233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over63c1,249$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over63c1,088$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.653946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under45c1,048$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over63c1,037$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.4530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37023342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37026041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c850.21$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.0422745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over53c697.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under48c696.73$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.261643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over76c636.28$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8113250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under35c571.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under48c566.97$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over63c509$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.832751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under38c485$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.31968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+117.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c320.4$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf2…7803backed Over52c280.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under38c263.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over63c260.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Under36c244.44$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under60c232.32$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.391450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under44c221.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under46c217.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+80.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d292backed Over49c205.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over63c170.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under13c170.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.624067.5%27 W · 13 L+9.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+99.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Over57c158.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over60c158.37$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3512448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c7…3a49backed Under63c154.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Over28c154.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under36c137.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.683619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Under47c136$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over28c134.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.271735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba6c…dad3backed Over37c133.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over27c132$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over78c130$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under46c125$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.53351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under45c124.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.866443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under59c110.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under22c107.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under37c106.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9133…20acbacked Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under37c99.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.997227.8%20 W · 52 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over62c94.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under74c94.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over63c87.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.32040%8 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-40.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over64c86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under46c84.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under37c79.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.517861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over56c79.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over49c74.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over53c72.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8622854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over63c72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over71c70.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.513548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Under46c64.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over63c60.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.011154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over46c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5516224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under37c59.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.94151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over32c57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over45c55.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.072744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under43c44.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over64c43.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over64c43.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over63c42.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over36c39.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Over52c37.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Over63c35.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+75.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…6e97backed Under37c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under59c32.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.364748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e7…eb59backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under37c31.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.615649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under37c29.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.011526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe2b…de68backed Under52c28.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under38c28.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4801…6de9backed Under75c27.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over63c27.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under60c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.322556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.