Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aceed24786ad594dcf8f8da1ccd066b264b9d7a7d64a897e43ef24e35cc9a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed No | 41c | 640$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 548.56$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 59c | 460$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked No | 39c | 382.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…ff0abacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 37c | 231.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 38c | 230.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 178.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 36c | 147.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 141.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 39c | 104.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 91.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 90.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 87.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 38c | 35.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…5d80backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…6c9bbacked Yes | 64c | 31.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Yes | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +11.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)FK Vojvodina Novi Sad won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)FK Vojvodina Novi Sad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.