Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb917ec7597cd2760c0601e042e16474baabe214e9e3a4f8ba548779d275654d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 41c | 6,716$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.17 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 6,201$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 5,475$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.34 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,757$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.11 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 2,871$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.67 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 27c | 2,771$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.45 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 33c | 2,743$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.11 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 2,411$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.16 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 1,997$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.32 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 1,310$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.41 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 44c | 1,279$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.71 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 953.84$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 37c | 934.62$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.89 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 831.54$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.02 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over | 58c | 686.07$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 4c | 515.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…0901backed Under | 45c | 443.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 57c | 404.19$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 42c | 400.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 359.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 56c | 305$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…4357backed Over | 76c | 297.97$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 208.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 54c | 206.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Under | 42c | 139$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -86%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 130.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 125.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 96.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 54c | 88.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 60c | 82.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 74.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 56c | 70.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 38c | 59.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 43c | 54.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Over | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 42c | 48.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 69c | 47.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 41c | 38.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 52c | 36.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 60c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 56c | 35.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 48c | 30.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 50c | 29.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 55c | 28.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 54c | 28.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 26.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 49c | 21.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…9db6backed Over | 77c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Over | 73c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: FK Vojvodina Novi Sad (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)FK Vojvodina Novi Sad won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)FK Vojvodina Novi Sad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.