Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47aaeb0b683fdb3d4d55280a8c2615898d982bba73330547f151ba3f43184cba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 12,084$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,127.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 10,150$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.45 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 6,822$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.06 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 6,812$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Under | 79c | 6,346$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 50c | 3,798$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.49 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 65c | 2,000$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 57c | 1,944$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.94 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 58c | 1,816$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.59 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 61c | 1,600$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.96 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 50c | 1,203$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 55c | 1,117$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.65 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 1,095$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.26 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 42c | 768.95$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 39c | 546.25$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 66c | 436.79$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 400.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 393.05$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 36c | 371.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 344.47$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 339.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 30c | 328.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 64c | 255.1$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Over | 36c | 248.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 41c | 229.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 49c | 221.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 51c | 191.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 70c | 182.89$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 69c | 168.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 48c | 157.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…90b5backed Over | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 132.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 47c | 117.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 109.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 39c | 103.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 52c | 94.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 80.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 71.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Over | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 65c | 61.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 61.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 48c | 55.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 44c | 53.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 38c | 50.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 52c | 42.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 39c | 41.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Over | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 69c | 33.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 50c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 54c | 26.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Over | 48c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 40c | 26.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 40c | 25.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 67c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 65c | 21.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 65c | 19.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Under | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 80c | 17.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.