Champions League · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadfc086c698969c4f4f4a8f6139425cdda07e3aeacbce4cd8cf801f32180161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 2,805$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.08 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…3ac6backed No | 11c | 2,612$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 2,603$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.14 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…51fbbacked No | 12c | 2,519$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 2,127$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.88 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 1,858$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.7 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,235$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.75 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,222$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.12 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed No | 48c | 1,033$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 781.75$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.79 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 775.95$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.18 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 678.64$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.43 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 472.11$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.94 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 276.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 56c | 267.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 55c | 266.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 260.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Yes | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 14c | 224.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 64c | 136$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 54c | 132.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 44c | 117.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 63c | 92.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 51c | 91.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 56c | 85.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 44c | 84.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 58c | 80.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 49c | 80.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 66.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 48c | 65.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Yes | 50c | 62.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…06bebacked Yes | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 59.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 48c | 42.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 55c | 39.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 55c | 31.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…10f6backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 45c | 26.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 45c | 25.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 51c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 54c | 19.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Aarhus GF O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.