Champions League · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1891cada40161ca76ccc22cdc2daa904d8e772a081c6c952b668786c76c584a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 37c | 11,490$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,227.95 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 32c | 7,266$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.61 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…0836backed Under | 17c | 5,927$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,948.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 5,818$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.94 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 40c | 5,469$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.66 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 40c | 5,016$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bc…d6d1backed Under | 16c | 4,853$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +506.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 4,630$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.08 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…1be1backed Under | 14c | 4,375$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +629.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 3,314$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.24 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 33c | 3,057$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 31c | 2,676$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 41c | 2,614$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.75 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…401fbacked Under | 16c | 2,530$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,473$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.92 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 2,388$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.48 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 23c | 2,153$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 12c | 2,082$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.3 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 41c | 1,926$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.26 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 44c | 1,778$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.72 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 1,520$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.24 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 61c | 1,501$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.81 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 31c | 1,440$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.3 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 14c | 1,438$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.72 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 68c | 1,372$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.54 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 8c | 1,229$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 53c | 1,224$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 7c | 1,105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 52c | 1,090$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.18 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 69c | 1,055$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 1,022$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 43c | 1,021$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.24 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 946.37$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 79c | 934.52$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.83 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +379.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 18c | 921$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.87 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 6c | 914.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 24c | 784.04$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 54c | 766.02$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.42 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 77c | 702.39$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 46c | 634.78$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 620.83$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.36 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 32c | 620.16$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 584.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 18c | 555.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.54 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 59c | 510.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.77 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 492.33$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.89 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 32c | 470.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 31c | 433.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 50c | 426.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 31c | 403.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 71c | 380.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 6c | 366.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 34c | 366.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 51c | 361.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed Under | 72c | 358.59$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 48c | 339.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 62c | 322.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 29c | 314.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 32c | 312.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 9c | 305.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Over | 77c | 298.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +591.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Under | 24c | 297.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 68c | 292.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 77c | 284.08$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 274.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 55c | 272.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Under | 33c | 270.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 29c | 234.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 31c | 230.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 25c | 229.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 69c | 227$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 220.81$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Under | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 42c | 217.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 214.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 46c | 207$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 61c | 204.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under | 53c | 181.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…9c8cbacked Under | 11c | 171.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 73c | 168.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 39c | 165.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 24c | 161.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 12c | 160.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 14c | 155.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 51c | 144.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed Over | 26c | 122.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 19c | 115.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 40c | 115$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 33c | 113.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Aarhus GF O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.