Champions League · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae8f0349544ce88a860654d2118968eadbd0331bbd0a2cc541628399b1f64e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 47c | 9,940$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.49 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 47c | 4,972$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 4,103$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.96 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…e1cfbacked Under | 6c | 3,751$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 3,661$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.48 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 2,945$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.14 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 48c | 2,937$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.46 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 2,775$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.05 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 2,260$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.7 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 2,104$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.6 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 2,014$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.81 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.16 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 1,384$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.61 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 3c | 1,161$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 4c | 1,152$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 2c | 1,091$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,041$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.95 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 11c | 986.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 50c | 975.26$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 974.99$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.35 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 916.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 796.4$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.96 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 11c | 790.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 626.67$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.75 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 48c | 595.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.82 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 558.57$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 556.22$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 8c | 556.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 11c | 450.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 49c | 435.04$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.62 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 409.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 53c | 404.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 44c | 376$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 356.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 47c | 334.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 328.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.35 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 52c | 315.71$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Under | 12c | 254.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Under | 55c | 181.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 165.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 56c | 160$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 51c | 94.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…7fdbbacked Under | 53c | 92.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a7c4backed Over | 55c | 88.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 15c | 75.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…4e84backed Under | 66c | 71.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 69.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 67.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Under | 47c | 66.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 53c | 56.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 53c | 52.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 52c | 50.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 49.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed Over | 51c | 41.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Over | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 60c | 41.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 53c | 40.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 44c | 36.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 34.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…d47dbacked Under | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 60c | 31.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…1a4fbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…23a4backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Under | 58c | 27.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Over | 53c | 23.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Aarhus GF O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.