Mls · resolved market
Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd03d4a6ef970d4eaff8e2c8855e313e513015a74f384ff90d91514451a9355a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 62c | 48,333$29,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,883.84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 18,331$6,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,339.33 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 13,829$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.81 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 11,394$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,047.52 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 37c | 6,062$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.43 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 40c | 3,050$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.76 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 2,482$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.22 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 39c | 1,955$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.07 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 1,286$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.81 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.52 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 38c | 1,007$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.39 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 38c | 988.44$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.83 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 925.91$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 60c | 832.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 38c | 697.9$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.5 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 38c | 604.05$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.59 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 38c | 582.82$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 39c | 555$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.85 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 41c | 499.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.96 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 40c | 470.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.43 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 39c | 406$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 38c | 323$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 38c | 307.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 39c | 274$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 38c | 272.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 40c | 242.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 241.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 38c | 216.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 42c | 173$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 52c | 156.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 150.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 38c | 144$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 62c | 138.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 38c | 138$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Under | 49c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 60c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 38c | 110.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 38c | 101.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 31c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 93.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 40c | 76.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 51c | 73.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 40c | 69.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 68.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Under | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 38c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 45.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 38c | 39.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 38c | 37.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 36.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 51c | 33.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 38c | 31.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 39c | 29.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 55c | 29.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 38c | 28.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Under | 38c | 26.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 62c | 25.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…cba5backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 59c | 23.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…8762backed Over | 61c | 21.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 63c | 21.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.