Europa Conference League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ec621cbef4cc603e01ca37bdde15c001dc94437bb055b558e3ebc71832b5fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 11,447$7,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 2c | 7,162$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 4,691$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.73 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 32c | 4,533$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.58 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Over | 44c | 3,659$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 2,718$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 1,107$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 1,069$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 763.08$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 716.25$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.15 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 715$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 680.65$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.2 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 16c | 536.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 9c | 526.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 518.09$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 503.15$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 50c | 392.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 10c | 257.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 49c | 194.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 63c | 185$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 21c | 144.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 118.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 99.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed Under | 49c | 99.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 50c | 87.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Over | 53c | 79.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 22c | 69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 56c | 63.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Under | 50c | 60.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 77c | 51.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 75c | 25.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 50c | 24.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 69c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 2.5this page
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 0.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 4.5Under won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Páfos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Páfos FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: Team to AdvancePáfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-1.5)Páfos FC won
- Spread: Páfos FC (-2.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.